José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer
Independent Researcher

José Aurelio
Fiorio Weberhofer

Research in exchange rate dynamics, international macroeconomics, monetary policy & applied econometrics — with a focus on Latin America and Paraguay.

Biography

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer is an independent researcher in economics and finance, with a focus on foreign direct investment (FDI), capital budgeting, investment decision-making, and applied quantitative methods. His research combines empirical analysis with practical financial modeling, emphasizing emerging markets — particularly Latin America and Paraguay.

His work examines exchange rate dynamics, international macroeconomics, monetary policy, and applied econometrics, with additional contributions on commodity-linked macro-financial relationships and regional spillovers in small open economies.

In parallel with his academic work, he produces structured educational content and tutorials on quantitative finance, statistics, and applied economics through his YouTube channel — bridging academic concepts with practical implementation.

His research is published on open academic platforms including Zenodo, SSRN, and ORCID, and is intended to support students, practitioners, and researchers seeking rigorous yet accessible explanations of core concepts in finance and economics.

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer

Research Areas

  • Exchange Rate Dynamics
  • International Macroeconomics
  • Monetary Policy
  • Applied Econometrics
  • Foreign Direct Investment
  • Capital Budgeting
  • Commodity-Macro Linkages

Geographic Focus

  • Paraguay
  • Latin America (Cono Sur)
  • Emerging Markets
  • Dubai / UAE

Publications & Working Papers

2026

Yield Compression and Macroeconomic Drivers in Dubai Residential Market (2021–2025)

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18433891
Real Estate Dubai Yield Analysis
2026

Brazil as Paraguay's Principal Economic Partner: Structural Trade Integration, Energy Interdependence, and Regional Spillovers

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18172762
Trade Brazil-Paraguay Regional Spillovers
2026

Exchange Rate Determinants in Paraguay: Trade, Monetary Policy, and Regional Spillovers

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18165237
Exchange Rates Monetary Policy Paraguay
2026

USD–PYG and Agricultural Export Prices: An Econometric Analysis

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18133399
Econometrics Agriculture FX
2026

Commodity Prices and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Paraguay: An Empirical Analysis of USD/PYG, Soybean, and Cotton Prices

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18114444
Commodities FX Dynamics Soybean
2025

Paraguay Before and After the War of the Triple Alliance: Demographic Devastation, Geopolitical Exclusion, and Economic Resilience

Working Paper — Zenodo (Bilingual: Spanish & English)
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18067822
Economic History Geopolitics Paraguay
2025

Recent GDP Growth Performance and Investment Signaling in Paraguay: Evidence and Implications

Working Paper — Zenodo (Bilingual: Spanish & English)
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18049109
GDP Growth Investment Paraguay
2025

Análisis de los factores clave que afectan la atracción de la Inversión Extranjera Directa en el Paraguay

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17931351
FDI Paraguay Spanish
2025

Competitividad de la Inversión Extranjera Directa en Paraguay: Una perspectiva comparativa en el Cono Sur

Working Paper — Zenodo
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18002443
FDI Competitiveness Cono Sur

Video Lectures

Minimum Variance Portfolio Construction

Inverse coefficient of variation (CV) weighting methodology for optimal portfolio allocation. Excel-based quantitative finance tutorial.

Cointegration & Long-Run Equilibrium in USD/PYG

Engle–Granger two-step methodology applied to the Paraguayan guaraní, examining agricultural export prices, interest rate differentials, and regional spillovers.

Academic Profiles & Repositories

Contact

For research inquiries, collaboration opportunities, or academic correspondence, feel free to reach out.

josefiorio@fiorioeconomics.com